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their failure to reach many in need, we discuss universal and selected prevention
strategies as well, although we recognize that the evidence for these strategies is
often indirect or speculative.
Universal Prevention Strategies
The Interagency Council on the Homeless (1994) argued for universal preven-
tion strategies. It noted that for most people, homelessness is a manifestation of
extreme poverty and that ending homelessness will, in the long run, require com-
bating poverty with "more opportunities for decent work, job training that leads
somewhere, necessary social services, better education, and affordable housing
[all as] components of comprehensive community planning and economic devel-
opment" (p. 84). The nearly 4,000 providers of homeless assistance, local officials,
and homeless and formerly homeless people it queried rated more affordable hous-
ing as the top priority (out of 15 options) for a federal plan to address homelessness
(p. 61). Such a plan exists, in the form of the National Housing Trust Fund bills
before both houses of Congress (http://www.nhtf.org). The bills provide for the
production, preservation, and rehabilitation by 2010 of 1.5 million rental units
targeted to low-income households. (See Jahiel, 1992, and Lindblom, 1991, for
additional proposals.)
Selected Prevention Strategies
Selected prevention strategies might target low-income people who have dif-
ficulty affording housing, poor people at particular life stages, or neighborhoods
from which large concentrations of homeless people come.
Primary Prevention
Means-tested subsidies. With respect to housing affordability, the Department
of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) considers unsubsidized renters with
incomes below 50% of the area median who pay more than 50% of their income for
housing costs as having "worst-case" housing needs. These households may be at
substantial risk of homelessness. One way to estimate the costs of preventing
homelessness by attacking housing affordability directly is to calculate the differ-
ence between the amount that worst-case households can afford to pay and the
actual costs of their units (including rent and utilities other than telephone) per
annum. The total gap between 50% of the incomes of worst-case households and
housing costs was $14.3 billion in 1995. If we use the HUD standard that house-
holds should pay no more than 30% of their income for rent and utilities, the gap for
worst-case households was $22.5 billion in 1995. A more generous program to
The Prevention of Homelessness Revisited
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