Different theories
make different predictions about how mean levels of personality traits
change in adulthood. The biological view of the Five-factor theory proposes
the plaster hypothesis: All personality traits stop changing by age
30. In contrast, contextualist perspectives propose that changes should
be more varied and should persist throughout adulthood. This study compared
these perspectives in a large (N = 132,515) sample of adults aged 21
60 who completed a Big Five personality measure on the Internet. Conscientiousness
and Agreeableness increased throughout early and middle adulthood at
varying rates; Neuroticism declined among women but did not change among
men. The variety in patterns of change suggests that the Big Five traits
are complex phenomena subject to a variety of developmental influences.
How does personality
change during adulthood? Psychologists since William James (1890/1950)
have struggled with the question of whether various aspects of personality,
including personality traits, change in meaningful ways during adulthood,
and when those changes take place. Contemporary hypotheses about the
development of personality traits stem from theories about what personality
traits are. McCrae and Costas (1996) five-factor theory asserts
that personality traits arise exclusively from biological causes (i.e.,
genes) and that they reach full maturity in early adulthood; thus, this
theory predicts little or no change on any personality dimension after
early adulthood. By contrast, contextualist perspectives argue that
traits are multiply determined, and that one important influence on
traits is the individuals social environment (Haan, Millsap, &
Hartka, 1986; Helson, Jones, & Kwan, 2002). Contextualist perspectives
thus predict plasticity: Change is complex and ongoing, owing to the
many factors that can affect personality traits. In this study, we set
out to understand how personality traits change in early and middle
adulthood by examining the Big Five personality trait dimensions (Goldberg,
1992; John & Srivastava, 1999; McCrae & Costa, 1999). We used
a cross-sectional design to study how mean levels of personality traits
differ by age and whether those age effects are moderated by gender.(1)
We were particularly interested in examining whether change on all of
the Big Five dimensions stops or slows in middle adulthood, as predicted
by the five-factor theory, or whether change is ongoing and differentiated,
as predicted by contextualist theories.
Past Research
on Mean-Level Change on the Big Five During Adulthood
A recent literature review summarized previous studies of mean-level
change on the Big Five (Roberts, Robins, Caspi, & Trzesniewski,
in press). In this review, Roberts et al. (in press) rationally categorized
a wide variety of personality measures into the Big Five domains and
summarized patterns of mean-level change that were consistent across
studies. They concluded that, in general, Conscientiousness and Agreeableness
tend to go up during adulthood, Neuroticism tends to go down, Openness
shows mixed results across studies, and Extraversion shows no general
pattern of change at the factor level. This basic pattern of findings
has been reported in specific studies by researchers who argue that
personality traits are affected by context (e.g., Helson et al., 2002;
Helson & Kwan, 2000) as well as those who favor a strictly biological
interpretation of traits (e.g., McCrae et al., 1999, 2000).
Although Roberts et al.s (in press) conclusion seems to represent
some common ground among researchers, there is still considerable disagreement:
The biological and contextual perspectives disagree sharply over the
timing of changes within the life course and over whether there are
any differences between mens and womens development.
Set Like Plaster: The Five-Factor Theory
According to the five-factor theory, personality traits are insulated
from the direct effects of the environment (McCrae & Costa,
1999, p. 144) and are exclusively biological in origin. Change is addressed
by Postulate 1c of the five-factor theory: Traits develop through
childhood and reach mature form in adulthood; thereafter they are stable
in cognitively intact individuals (McCrae & Costa, 1999, p.
145). More specifically, traits are said to reach maturity by age 30
(e.g., Costa & McCrae, 1994; McCrae & Costa, 1999; McCrae et
al., 2000). The predicted stability is expected to last throughout middle
age, though in old age personality could change again, being disrupted
by cognitive decline. A commonly used metaphor for this pattern of change,
based on a passage from William James (1890/1950), is that personality
becomes set like plaster by age 30 (see Costa & McCrae,
1994); thus, we refer to Postulate 1c, in its general form, as the plaster
hypothesis.
In its original formulation, the plaster hypothesis stated that changes
in Big Five traits after age 30 were nonexistent or trivial (Costa &
McCrae, 1994; McCrae & Costa, 1990, 1996). More recently, the authors
of the five-factor theory have indicated that the plaster hypothesis
is ripe for minor revision (McCrae & Costa, 1999, p.
145), as studies have shown changes in mean levels of personality traits
after age 30 (e.g., McCrae et al., 1999, 2000; see also Roberts et al.,
in press). They interpret such changes as stemming from intrinsic biological
maturation rather than social influences, and they still regard the
plaster hypothesis as basically true: From age 18 to age 30 there
are declines in Neuroticism, Extraversion, and Openness to Experience,
and increases in Agreeableness and Conscientiousness; after age 30 the
same trends are found, although the rate of change seems to decrease
(McCrae et al., 2000, p. 183). Despite this conclusion, no study that
we are aware of has directly tested whether mean levels of the Big Five
traits do in fact change less after age 30 than before. This may be
in part because past research on adult development has compared discrete
age groups, rather than treating age as a continuous variable. For example,
McCrae et al.s (1999, 2000) two recent cross-sectional studies
reported means for groups of 22- to 29-year-olds and means for groups
of 30- to 49-year-olds, but the studies do not report the amount of
change within those critical age ranges. We thus set out to test the
plaster hypothesis by directly comparing rates of change during the
relevant age periods. In translating the plaster hypothesis into formal
predictions about rates of change, we specified two versions of it.
We call the original formulation (as described in Costa & McCrae,
1994) the hard plaster hypothesis: Age effects after age 30 should not
be reliably different from zero, and this should hold for each of the
Big Five dimensions. We call the more recent minor revision
(McCrae & Costa, 1999) the soft plaster hypothesis, because here
personality is like plaster that has not fully hardened but is becoming
more and more viscous: Personality traits change more slowly after age
30 than before age 30.
(1) Change
is a broad concept that can be defined in a variety of other ways, such
as rank-order change (whether people change in their ordering relative
to age mates) and individual differences in change (whether different
individuals change at different rates over time). These other ways of
examining change address somewhat different substantive issues, and
it is possible to obtain conceptually compatible but different results
with the different approaches. (For a fuller discussion of different
kinds of change, see Caspi & Roberts, 1999.)
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